Scientists Have Less Than 8 Years to Save Earth - WARNING
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In late December 2024, astronomers discovered a large space object up to 90 meters in diameter, designated as 2024 YR4. A recent revision of NASA specialists' calculations showed that the probability of its collision with Earth has increased to 2.3%.
As reported by Pravda.ru, volcanologist and science journalist Robin George Andrews drew public attention to the seriousness of the situation through social media. In his opinion, there is very little time to prepare effective protective measures.
According to experts, developing a comprehensive program to counter such threats requires at least ten years, while less than eight years remain until the possible collision.
Although a successful mission to change the trajectory of a binary asteroid previously demonstrated the potential ability to influence the movement of such objects, 2024 YR4 may present special challenges. Scientists note that many asteroids consist not of a solid mass but of loosely connected fragments. This creates a risk that during an attempt at mechanical intervention, the object may break into multiple pieces, increasing the likelihood of their falling to Earth.
An additional problem is that 2024 YR4 will soon disappear from the observation zone of ground-based telescopes and will only become visible again after several years. This significantly complicates data collection and decision-making.
Among possible measures being discussed are the use of more powerful spacecraft or even nuclear charges. However, each of these methods requires detailed development and is associated with certain risks.
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